Archive for month: April, 2018

Distribution of wind speed:
When building a wind farm, it is very important to describe the variation of wind speeds at the prospective farm site. Engineers need the information to optimize the design of the turbines to be used at the farm. This allows them to minimize generating costs. Just as importantly, potential investors in the wind farm need the information to estimate the potential income from electricity generation.
When these data are presented graphically, the result is called a Weibull distribution. In this laboratory, you will prepare a Weibull distribution based on observations of wind speeds and wind directions collected by the Oklahoma Mesonet.
When wind speeds throughout a year are examined, it becomes clear that days with strong winds, and days with no wind, are rare. Days with moderate winds are much more frequent. Thus, there is a distribution of wind speeds for each possible wind farm site. If a wind farm is to be built, the power generating potential of the wind for the site must be determined. The result determines whether or not it is economically feasible to build the farm.
One might erroneously conclude that the power generating potential can be determined from knowing the average wind speed and the efficiency of the wind turbine at that wind speed, but this is not the case. To calculate the power generating potential it is important to know the actual wind distribution. Usually the wind distribution is not symmetrical, that is, there is a difference between the average wind speed and the median wind speed. The median wind speed is that speed for which half of the observed wind speeds are greater than while the other half is less than. Another important statistical term to know is the “mode”. The mode is the wind speed that occurs most frequently at the site.
In previous laboratories you have been working with the average wind speed. This is the speed obtained by taking the sum of the daily average speed and dividing it by the number of days. Average wind speeds were used to identify potential wind farm sites. To determine the energy production potential of the site, the distribution of wind speeds around the average speed will be needed. Thus it is necessary to construct a graph showing the wind distribution for your potential wind farm site.
The Weibull Distribution:
The wind distribution diagram you will generate is called a “probability density distribution”. In a probability density distribution the area under the curve is exactly 1 unit. To find the probability density distribution for a particular site, you must count the number of days at each average wind speed. This was performed using data from the Perkins site from 2011 and included in a table on the next page.
2011 Wind Distribution for Perkins
Wind Speed (mph) Number of Days
3 6
4 13
5 29
6 43
7 37
8 50
9 31
10 37
11 24
12 22
13 20
14 11
15 11
16 12
17 9
18 2
19 2
20 2
21 2
22 1
Total Days 364
To calculate the probability density distribution, the probability of the occurrence of each speed must be determined. This is done by taking the number of days that that a particular speed is observed and dividing by the total number of days. The result is a plot of the probability of the wind speed as a function of the wind speed. The plot for Perkins in 2011 resulted in the plot below:
If the probabilities for all of the wind speeds were summed, the result would equal 1. It can be seen that for this site, the most common wind speed is 8 miles per hour and that particular wind speed will be observed at about .14 or 14% of the time.
Another factor that is considered when building a wind farm is the predictability of the wind speeds. Potential investors would certainly not want to build a farm on a site where they are unsure of the wind speeds. While a high standard deviation implies that winds for future days would be difficult to predict with much certainty, a low standard deviation (less than 4) suggests that the wind speeds are fairly consistent, or close to the mean. In an exercise below, we will compute the standard deviation of the wind speeds of your site, which will be a measure of the consistency of the wind speeds.
The Power Distribution of the Wind:
Recall from the previous laboratory that the energy producing potential of the wind varies as the cube of the wind speed. For example, a day with a wind speed of 10 miles per hour can generate eight times as much power as a day with a wind speed of 5 miles per hour. Although high winds are rare, they generate much, much more energy. Thus, sites that have the most very windy days have a higher energy generating potential.
To determine what wind speeds produce the most wind power at a site, the power distribution must be measured. This is obtained by multiplying the probability of a particular wind speed by the cube of the wind speed for each wind speed. The power distribution for Perkins is shown below.
Notice that the shape of this graph is very different than that for the wind distribution, but this graph is much more important. It suggests that even though the average and median wind speeds are about 9 miles per hour, the average power production of the wind at Perks is at 13 miles per hour! Another way of thinking about this is that 50% of all of the energy that can be produced by the wind in Putnam is produced in only 51 (14%) of the 364 days.
Questions and Exercises:
Submit both a Word Document and an Excel Spreadsheet for this lab that answers the following:
1. Generate a Weibull distribution for your wind farm site. You should be able to start with the same Excel Spreadsheet that you used for Lab #3. To find the probability density distribution (Weibull distribution) for your site, round the average wind speed for each day to the nearest integer by using the “ROUND” function. You will use the format, “=Round(Cx,d),” where Cx is the cell you wish to round, and d is the number of decimal places you wish to show. Since you are seeking integers, the value of d should be zero. Fill this function down so that all wind speeds are rounded to the nearest integer. Then, sort the data in this column, and count the number of days corresponding to each average wind speed. The table should look like the one for Putnam, Oklahoma shown in this lab. For each wind speed, calculate the fraction of days that the wind speed blows at that speed. This is done by taking the number of days that that speed is observed and dividing by the total number of days in the data set. To create the distribution diagram you plot the probability of the wind speed as a function of the wind speed. Copy the plot, and paste it into a Word document. Identify the average wind speed, the median wind speed and the modal wind speed. Comment on the graph. Is it symmetrical? In a couple of sentences, interpret the graph.
3. Compute the standard deviation of the unrounded wind data (from Lab #3). To do this, type “=STDEV(X)” where X highlights all of the wind speeds. Interpret your value. Does your site appear to have consistent or inconsistent wind speeds?
5. Determine at what wind speed half of the total power potential is produced. Comment on the difference between your power potential plot and the Weibull distribution plot.
Question 1
Average Wind Speed Rounded Wind Speed Sorted Wind Speed Wind Distribution
[mph] [mph] [mph] Wind Speed Number of Days Probability
16 16 16 3 [mph] [-] [-]
9.6 9.6 10 3 1 0 0
9.3 9.3 9 3 2 0 0
8 8 8 4 3 3 0.008333333
5.2 5.2 5 4 4 9 0.025
9.8 9.8 10 4 5 36 0.1
11 11 11 4 6 43 0.119444444
14.8 14.8 15 4 7 44 0.122222222
9.7 9.7 10 4 8 53 0.147222222
9 9 9 4 9 35 0.097222222
9.6 9.6 10 4 10 41 0.113888889
14.3 14.3 14 4 11 26 0.072222222
8.6 8.6 9 5 12 26 0.072222222
12.6 12.6 13 5 13 19 0.052777778
4.8 4.8 5 5 14 14 0.038888889
12.4 12.4 12 5 15 5 0.013888889
17.2 17.2 17 5 16 2 0.005555556
7.5 7.5 8 5 17 2 0.005555556
7.5 7.5 8 5 18 2 0.005555556
5 5 5 5 19 0 0
8 8 8 5 20 0 0
16.2 16.2 16 5 21 0 0
7.3 7.3 7 5 22 0 0
6.1 6.1 6 5 23 0 0
4.5 4.5 5 5 24 0 0
12.2 12.2 12 5 25 0 0
11.8 11.8 12 5 26 0 0
4.9 4.9 5 5 27 0 0
7 7 7 5 28 0 0
6.8 6.8 7 5 29 0 0
5.3 5.3 5 5 30 0 0
7.4 7.4 7 5 Total Days: 360 1
8.5 8.5 9 5
14.7 14.7 15 5 Average Wind Speed
14.1 14.1 14 5 [mph]
10 10 10 5 8.772222222
11.5 11.5 12 5
11.1 11.1 11 5 Median Wind Speed
8.4 8.4 8 5 [mph]
9.2 9.2 9 5 8
8.1 8.1 8 5
14.7 14.7 15 5 Modal Wind Speed
18.1 18.1 18 5 [mph]
8.7 8.7 9 5 8
9.4 9.4 9 5
9.7 9.7 10 5
11.1 11.1 11 5
11.9 11.9 12 5
6.8 6.8 7 6
8.9 8.9 9 6
6.2 6.2 6 6
7.5 7.5 8 6
10.5 10.5 11 6
5.1 5.1 5 6
12.1 12.1 12 6
10.4 10.4 10 6
13.3 13.3 13 6
7.7 7.7 8 6
12 12 12 6
9 9 9 6
6.3 6.3 6 6
8.3 8.3 8 6
13.9 13.9 14 6
8.8 8.8 9 6
10.8 10.8 11 6
7.6 7.6 8 6
13.1 13.1 13 6
12.3 12.3 12 6
7.3 7.3 7 6
5.9 5.9 6 6
7.5 7.5 8 6
10.3 10.3 10 6
9.4 9.4 9 6
7.1 7.1 7 6
9.4 9.4 9 6
6.7 6.7 7 6
9.6 9.6 10 6
5.5 5.5 6 6
5.7 5.7 6 6
4.2 4.2 4 6
11.3 11.3 11 6
9.8 9.8 10 6
11.4 11.4 11 6
6.2 6.2 6 6
10 10 10 6
5.2 5.2 5 6
8.6 8.6 9 6
7.7 7.7 8 6
5.7 5.7 6 6
8.9 8.9 9 6
6.7 6.7 7 6
6.4 6.4 6 7
9.9 9.9 10 7
10.2 10.2 10 7
3.6 3.6 4 7
4.2 4.2 4 7
5.9 5.9 6 7
6.3 6.3 6 7
7.6 7.6 8 7
10.3 10.3 10 7
6.3 6.3 6 7
9 9 9 7
7.8 7.8 8 7
8 8 8 7
7.7 7.7 8 7
6.3 6.3 6 7
6.3 6.3 6 7
4.5 4.5 5 7
4.6 4.6 5 7
6.1 6.1 6 7
4.7 4.7 5 7
7.6 7.6 8 7
7.3 7.3 7 7
4.8 4.8 5 7
7.8 7.8 8 7
8.4 8.4 8 7
7.8 7.8 8 7
5.6 5.6 6 7
5.6 5.6 6 7
6.8 6.8 7 7
6.5 6.5 7 7
7.9 7.9 8 7
8.2 8.2 8 7
5.8 5.8 6 7
4.6 4.6 5 7
9.6 9.6 10 7
11.8 11.8 12 7
8.2 8.2 8 7
7.2 7.2 7 7
10 10 10 7
6.1 6.1 6 7
9.7 9.7 10 7
6.3 6.3 6 7
5.5 5.5 6 7
6.3 6.3 6 7
12.3 12.3 12 8
8.4 8.4 8 8
5.3 5.3 5 8
8 8 8 8
10.4 10.4 10 8
9.9 9.9 10 8
9.6 9.6 10 8
12.1 12.1 12 8
6.6 6.6 7 8
10.6 10.6 11 8
4.1 4.1 4 8
5.4 5.4 5 8
5.8 5.8 6 8
7.4 7.4 7 8
7.7 7.7 8 8
5.8 5.8 6 8
8.6 8.6 9 8
4.5 4.5 5 8
9.1 9.1 9 8
5.7 5.7 6 8
6.3 6.3 6 8
8.1 8.1 8 8
7.1 7.1 7 8
7.3 7.3 7 8
7.6 7.6 8 8
8.2 8.2 8 8
5.2 5.2 5 8
5.2 5.2 5 8
4.7 4.7 5 8
6.5 6.5 7 8
5.7 5.7 6 8
5.2 5.2 5 8
6 6 6 8
8.4 8.4 8 8
4.6 4.6 5 8
7 7 7 8
5.1 5.1 5 8
5.2 5.2 5 8
4.9 4.9 5 8
7.3 7.3 7 8
6.9 6.9 7 8
5.8 5.8 6 8
8.3 8.3 8 8
11.7 11.7 12 8
4.9 4.9 5 8
11.3 11.3 11 8
7.5 7.5 8 8
4.2 4.2 4 8
3.4 3.4 3 8
7.1 7.1 7 8
10.2 10.2 10 8
4.9 4.9 5 8
10.3 10.3 10 8
11.6 11.6 12 9
10.8 10.8 11 9
12.5 12.5 13 9
11.7 11.7 12 9
7.7 7.7 8 9
12.6 12.6 13 9
10 10 10 9
14.1 14.1 14 9
13.7 13.7 14 9
7.8 7.8 8 9
12.4 12.4 12 9
13.6 13.6 14 9
6.9 6.9 7 9
11 11 11 9
16.5 16.5 17 9
14.1 14.1 14 9
8.9 8.9 9 9
10 10 10 9
10.8 10.8 11 9
11.3 11.3 11 9
8.1 8.1 8 9
12.9 12.9 13 9
9.3 9.3 9 9
7.4 7.4 7 9
6.3 6.3 6 9
9.4 9.4 9 9
14.4 14.4 14 9
13 13 13 9
12.1 12.1 12 9
7 7 7 9
8.3 8.3 8 9
8.7 8.7 9 9
8.6 8.6 9 9
9.5 9.5 10 9
8.9 8.9 9 9
8 8 8 10
10.6 10.6 11 10
8.7 8.7 9 10
9.5 9.5 10 10
4.2 4.2 4 10
10.3 10.3 10 10
9.9 9.9 10 10
10.3 10.3 10 10
7.3 7.3 7 10
10.4 10.4 10 10
9.3 9.3 9 10
9.3 9.3 9 10
9.3 9.3 9 10
6.9 6.9 7 10
6.1 6.1 6 10
11.3 11.3 11 10
10.7 10.7 11 10
4.5 4.5 5 10
5.7 5.7 6 10
5.6 5.6 6 10
9.6 9.6 10 10
13.4 13.4 13 10
4.8 4.8 5 10
8.3 8.3 8 10
12.2 12.2 12 10
4.3 4.3 4 10
6.5 6.5 7 10
8.8 8.8 9 10
7.1 7.1 7 10
8.4 8.4 8 10
7.4 7.4 7 10
10.6 10.6 11 10
14.2 14.2 14 10
12.5 12.5 13 10
9.3 9.3 9 10
9.9 9.9 10 10
18.1 18.1 18 10
11.3 11.3 11 10
12.7 12.7 13 10
13.3 13.3 13 10
13.9 13.9 14 10
13.9 13.9 14 11
12 12 12 11
8.1 8.1 8 11
7.1 7.1 7 11
7.2 7.2 7 11
10.2 10.2 10 11
12.6 12.6 13 11
11.6 11.6 12 11
11.6 11.6 12 11
13.6 13.6 14 11
13.4 13.4 13 11
7.2 7.2 7 11
9.8 9.8 10 11
13.6 13.6 14 11
8.6 8.6 9 11
7.7 7.7 8 11
6.2 6.2 6 11
10.2 10.2 10 11
8.9 8.9 9 11
7.3 7.3 7 11
9.5 9.5 10 11
8.3 8.3 8 11
4 4 4 11
7.2 7.2 7 11
10.8 10.8 11 11
10.5 10.5 11 11
12.9 12.9 13 12
9.9 9.9 10 12
11.1 11.1 11 12
10.6 10.6 11 12
11.7 11.7 12 12
11 11 11 12
10 10 10 12
8.6 8.6 9 12
14 14 14 12
6.1 6.1 6 12
10.7 10.7 11 12
12 12 12 12
12.2 12.2 12 12
5.3 5.3 5 12
10.4 10.4 10 12
13 13 13 12
8.2 8.2 8 12
8.2 8.2 8 12
15 15 15 12
7.3 7.3 7 12
5.9 5.9 6 12
6.9 6.9 7 12
4.2 4.2 4 12
6.8 6.8 7 12
5 5 5 12
12 12 12 12
12.5 12.5 13 13
4.6 4.6 5 13
7.5 7.5 8 13
6.7 6.7 7 13
7.6 7.6 8 13
4.7 4.7 5 13
5.4 5.4 5 13
5.3 5.3 5 13
13.2 13.2 13 13
6 6 6 13
6 6 6 13
7.5 7.5 8 13
9.9 9.9 10 13
3.3 3.3 3 13
6 6 6 13
5.1 5.1 5 13
6.5 6.5 7 13
5.6 5.6 6 13
8.4 8.4 8 13
12.5 12.5 13 14
4.8 4.8 5 14
10.9 10.9 11 14
8.1 8.1 8 14
10.8 10.8 11 14
12.2 12.2 12 14
6.8 6.8 7 14
8.3 8.3 8 14
8.2 8.2 8 14
7.9 7.9 8 14
6.7 6.7 7 14
13.4 13.4 13 14
14.9 14.9 15 14
10 10 10 14
12 12 12 15
9.4 9.4 9 15
6.1 6.1 6 15
7.5 7.5 8 15
3 3 3 15
5.9 5.9 6 16
7.1 7.1 7 16
6.9 6.9 7 17
6.1 6.1 6 17
9.2 9.2 9 18
9 9 9 18
Question 3
Standard Deviation
[mph]
2.934581593
Question 4
Power Distribution
Wind Speed Probability “Power Potential” Normalized Potential
[mph] [-] [-] [-]
1 0 0 0
2 0 0 0
3 0.008333333 0.225 0.000245873
4 0.025 1.6 0.001748432
5 0.1 12.5 0.013659626
6 0.119444444 25.8 0.028193469
7 0.122222222 41.92222222 0.045811351
8 0.147222222 75.37777778 0.082370583
9 0.097222222 70.875 0.077450082
10 0.113888889 113.8888889 0.124454374
11 0.072222222 96.12777778 0.105045562
12 0.072222222 124.8 0.13637771
13 0.052777778 115.9527778 0.12670973
14 0.038888889 106.7111111 0.116610713
15 0.013888889 46.875 0.051223599
16 0.005555556 22.75555556 0.024866591
17 0.005555556 27.29444444 0.029826553
18 0.005555556 32.4 0.035405752
19 0 0 0
20 0 0 0
21 0 0 0
22 0 0 0
23 0 0 0
24 0 0 0
25 0 0 0
26 0 0 0
27 0 0 0
28 0 0 0
29 0 0 0
30 0 0 0
Total “Power Potential”: 915.1055556 1

Economic Growth Paper
Final paper uploaded to the dropbox folder “Economic Growth Paper Completed.”
First draft or outline copy and paste “Economic Growth Paper – First Draft” discussion folder.
Our textbook states that an economy is the result of many of social institutions working together. Social institutions are established to insure our education, health and welfare. Our social institutions are interwoven in our political and economic freedoms. Your research paper will explore how the complex fabric of our institutions is necessary to lay foundations for our economic growth.
Many may question what are social institutions. Some example of social institutions are those organizations that deal with the following aspects of our life, including education, health, laws, transportation, politics, property rights and religious beliefs and practices. Our social institutions can be an aid or if they are lacking can be a hindrance to an economies progress. For example if our institutions tolerate discrimination, this would have a negative affect on our progress. If on the other hand a societies institutions respect individual rights and freedoms, discrimination will be more difficult and personal progress and economic progress will be more possible.
In this assignment a paper needs to be written describing how institutions such as education, health and welfare, political right, property rights and economic freedom influence are involved in economic growth or the lack of economic growth. The title for your economic growth paper is ‘Economic growth is the result of many social institutions working together.’
The idea is that without development across a broad spectrum of social rights and institutions economic growth is challenged. Your paper will be based on the experiences of Paul Theroux as he travels in Africa in 2002. Specifically you will use at least two of his experiences in Kenya, Uganda, Malawi, Mozambique, Zimbabwe and South Africa that support your papers thesis.
In addition you must use at least two additional sources for information from any of the following: The Heritage Freedom Index, United Nations Human Development Index, CIA Factbook or other established organization or research.
As Paul Theroux travels and reports on conditions in these counties in 2002, the paper must discuss the economic performance of the countries you use from 1980 to 2000 present. In addition to discussing the African country data you must relate this other data in order to get idea of its relative performance.
You also must have appropriate citations for your sources.
Your paper will be at least three pages long and it is suggested you conform to MLA writing protocol.
Economic Growth Paper
The following book is required reading for your Economic Growth Paper.
Dark Star Safari: Overland from Cairo to Cape Town by Paul Theroux (Author)
You should be able to find it online at many outlets and used it should be very reasonably priced. You may find it at the local library too or local bookstores. I would look for a used copy and it should be less than $10.00 shipping included.
Near the mid-point of the class a rough draft (possibly an outline) of your paper is required in a discussion folder. The final draft of the Economic Growth Paper is due need the end of the class and will be uploaded and submitted to the appropriate dropbox folder.
What to include in your paper:
Title Section:
Be sure to include your name, and class identification. Also at the end of your report please include a complete citation of the resources you use.
This would include the title, source of your resource, and either a page number, and the author’s name and web link if possible. (If you use something from the web, please list the date you retrieved or gathered the information. Any words taken directly from a source must be within quotation marks and the source must be listed.) Please see the content topic dealing with citations for additional information.
Paper:
Within the first paragraph State your thesis which should be something like, ‘Economic growth is the result of many social institutions working together.’
The idea is that without development across a broad spectrum of social rights and institutions economic growth is challenged. Using the experiences from Dark Star Safari support your idea that economic growth is dependent on social institutions.
After you have stated your thesis, pick one or two countries from the list of Kenya, Uganda, Malawi, Mozambique, Zimbabwe and South Africa from which you will make your case for your thesis.
You must build your ideas from experiences from the Dark Star book. Find experiences from Dark Star Safari use them in your paper.
In addition find supporting data from the Heritage Freedom Index, the UN’s Human Development Index, the CIA or other source during the period 1980 to 2000 that supports your idea.
In addition using GDP per capita determine how the country or countries are doing economically. What has been their experience of their GDP per capita over the period 1980 to 2000.
Your paper should shed light on the question “What is the trend of economic growth and/or relative freedom in these countries during the time period studied?”
With the two examples (citations) from the book Dark Star Safari explain what social institution these experiences give insight too. These should be from Paul Theroux’s experiences or the experiences of people he meets on his trip that illustrate a particular social institution that is either working well or not working. Explore how these experiences relate to the economic, political and social progress of the individual nations. Look for experiences that highlight areas of social institutions and relate how these institutions or lack of them affects economic growth.
Ideas:
You may want to give some indication of the nation’s ability to promote at least one or more of the following, investment, education, infrastructure development, health, and welfare of its people and open secure markets.
Some areas of inquire may include the following:For the countries you have selected, you could consider the following:
Are the countries improving in meeting macroeconomic goals. (Do the best you can with the data you find. From this link you may not be able to find 30 years of historical data.
http://hdrstats.undp.org/en/indicators/62006.html
Pick an example from the book to validate one or more of your points of economic analysis for each country.
Can you relate personal freedoms in either political or property rights or treatment in the judicial system to economic prosperity?
What do you see as the major accomplishments or what are the major problems facing your counties in terms of meeting the three macroeconomic goals of growth, stable prices and full employment?
Do you think economic freedom and political freedom and growth are related to each other? (How do experiences from the book highlight the idea?)
What was the economic growth trend for your counties?
What needs to change for your countries to progress?
(Note: These sites may be used for the historical trend data. The following links may be helpful.)
http://www.heritage.org/Index/
http://www.heritage.org/Index/Ranking.aspx
http://hdr.undp.org/en/statistics
http://hdr.undp.org/en/countries/
http://hdr.undp.org/en/statistics/
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/index.html
In your conclusion please state what you think about the papers thesis statement. Please take an opportunity to provide your own insigh

corporate social responsibility
analyse the relationship between corporate social responsibility and corporate disclosure
2) explain how corporate social responsibility is presented by the firms ” footnotes” and disclosure

Topic: Case Study Reflection Assignment
Order Description
Masters of Special Education course. For this assignment, the focus is all on families! You will learn about the importance of fostering productive partnerships between school personnel and families. In this assignment, you will take a close look at the ways families are either empowered or disenfranchised when it comes to participating in IEP meetings.
a course module overview with what this weeks material and content is about, expected outcomes and a list of the six assigned readings I have uploaded for you to read and review before you start the “Case Study Reflection Assignment”. I have also uploaded a detailed “Case Study Reflection Assignment” document that has all the paper requirements, instructions, guidelines and graded rubric to go by.
*Case Study Reflection Assignment*
Instructions:
assignment asks you to apply what you have learned through the readings and module content. You will be presented with a set of scenarios to analyze and reflect upon.
CASE STUDY 1:
You are having your first IEP meeting with a new family. The records you have indicate that they are primarily Spanish-speaking, so you have arranged for a language interpreter. The father states that he understands some English. During the visit, he chooses to serve as the interpreter and relays the information, as he understands it, to his wife. As a result, you find yourself being misunderstood, misinterpreted, and misquoted by the father, and you are, therefore, unable to ensure that both the father and the mother are receiving accurate information. Holding the conversation in English seems to hold a special purpose to the father (adapted from Chen, Chan, Brekken, Lynch, & Valverde, 1993).
1.) What do you see as the problems in this case?
2.) What are some possible ideas for addressing or resolving the problems?
3.) What potential solution would you try and why?
CASE STUDY 2:
You are going to have your first IEP meeting with a Russian family. The family members speak some English but are not fluent. You want the meeting to go well and to be a positive beginning to your partnership with the family.
1.) How will you plan and structure the meeting to accomplish your goals?
2.) What things should and should not take place during the meeting to accomplish your goals?
Guidelines:
– Read each case or scenario, and then answer the questions that follow.
– Completed assignment, which should be approximately two double-spaced pages.
Sources/References:
Statistics
Collect data (Monthly data from Jan 2010 to Dec 2014) about the stock price of 3 multi-national companies (operating in the common sector in different markets for example, Ford, Geely, and Tata Motors). The 3 companies must operate in the same industry but in different countries. Use Yahoo Finance to obtain the data and use the closing stock price.
What you have to do?
Forecast the stock price using Moving Average, Exponential Smoothing, and Naïve methods. Select the method that leads to the lowest Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD), Mean Square Error (MSE), and Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE). You must perform each forecasting method and then determine the MAD, the MSE, and the MAPE for each method. You must do this for each company. Make analyses of the factors that might influence why the chosen companies forecasts are different by relating the trends to socio-economic or global market factors that are relevant and supported by the business press.
Include the following sections into the project report:
INTRODUCTION – Explain the basics of the forecasting and purposes of the project
FORECASTING METHODS – Explain Moving Average, Exponential Smoothing, and Naïve Methods one by one.
DATA – Show the data collected in a table for all the 3 companies
DATA ANALYSIS – Show all the 3 companies’ forecast prices and errors of all the 3 methods in three tables. If possible include charts for comparative analyses.
DISCUSSION – Discuss the findings of your analyses and explain the probable socio-economic or global factors that influence differences in the companies’ forecasts. In addition, discuss the usefulness of the project findings on formulating organizational plans.
Format you have to follow: Font size 12; Times New Roman; 1.5 line spacing.
Please show all data in excel file and upload it when completed. Show each company in a separate sheet.

literary and artistic representations of the science of observation
The topic for FORUM I is about the literary and artistic representations of the science of observation. The initial reading for discussion is Jonathan Swift’s satiric Gulliver’s Travels, “The Voyage to Lilliput” and “The Voyage to the Brobdingnagians”. Those sections seem related to the introduction into the British culture of the microscope and the telescope and the issues that technology and the “scientific” knowledge acquired thereby were raising. Each participant in Forum I is to either offer one of those issues, reference the related part of the reading, and explain his or her interpretation and/or add a contribution to an issue already raised. Then once you complete the assigned readings and viewings relating to LONGITUDE, you are to add another issue to this forum relating to Swift’s Gulliver’s Travels, “The Voyage to Laputa”. Swift, as well as other writers, such as Shakespeare in Merchant of Venice, reflects in his literature the problems associated with vessels at sea that can not with any accuracy know where they are situated along an East/West axis. This problem created an opportunity for Swift to envision imaginary locations for satiric purposes just as Homer was able to do for his nationalistic epic purposes at a time when far less was known of the world outside of the Greek city states, and belief in mythological deities was pervasive. In Swift’s time the role of Astronomers to resolve the dilemma of longitude was either greatly supported or suspect. This was also a time when enlightenment seemed to depend upon seeking more scientific knowledge and creating technologies to support scientific observation (and eventually experimentation) as well as upon creating technologies that would make the new knowledge useful. The process of obtaining funding for such endeavors became associated with a form for PROPOSALS. The proposals were printed and placed into circulation among potential subscribers and the public at large. Watch the clip attached to this Forum to see a sample of some of the proposals to solve longitude that are actually less ludicrous than were the proposals offered for all sorts of “improvements.” Your second contribution to Forum I is to comment upon Swift’s satire in Gulliver’s Travels, “The Voyage to Laputa.” Some of the satire connects with the role of astronomers, contemporary proposals, and the applications of new scientific knowledge, such as magnetic force. Forum I is available for you to begin making your contributions as soon as the associated material has been considered. Gulliver’s Travels is available from the Project Guttenberg online: https://www.gutenberg.org/files/829/829-h/829-h.htm. The film on Longitude based on Dava Sobel’s book is available in YouTube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=marDdB5c2Bc